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Economic Briefings Overview

Make informed business decisions and stay abreast of all the latest economic news with regular insight available from the experts in Group Economics. Get the latest reports on the economy, forecasts and updates on interest rate, exchange rates and more.

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The Weekly Brief

Your one page digest of the previous week's main economic news - and what it means for your business.

  • (18/05/2015 – 146kb, PDF)

    If you had to condense into three words the factors driving the UK’s economic performance you’d do worse than simply repeating jobs, jobs, jobs. Over 200,000 were added in the three months to March, many of them full time. Yet despite a return to decent, inflation-adjusted, pay growth, there’s not a whiff of inflation in the air.

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  • (11/05/2015 – 140kb, PDF)

    If nothing else, the UK General Election confirmed the need always to approach surveys cautiously. Nevertheless, the reported business optimism of UK and US service sector managers suggests both economies stepped up a gear in April. These surveys should prove to be more reliable.

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  • (05/05/2015 – 144kb, PDF)

    The fortunes of the US and UK economies often appear united. So it proved in Q1 when activity in both slowed by more than expected. For the US this softness can be reasonably attributed to yet another severe east-coast winter. That’s not the case for the UK. Nonetheless, output in both economies should accelerate in the current quarter.

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  • (27/04/2015 – 143kb, PDF)

    Booming retail sales, government finances that are being boosted by low inflation and a central bank in no rush to raise interest rates – the UK economy is basking in the spring sunshine. But it’s not a clear blue sky. Persistent concerns over Greece and renewed worries over emerging markets from the IMF are notes of caution.

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  • (20/04/2015 – 139kb, PDF)

    UK job creation continued in the three months to February with almost a quarter of a million more people in work. A second month of zero inflation also supported a respectable rise in price-adjusted pay. Yet weak price growth across most of the advanced economies is mainly due to lower oil prices and the cause of that is partly weak global demand. Hardly encouraging.

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Interest & Exchange Rate Forecast

Monthly analysis and commentary on the outlook for UK, US & European interest rates and currency exchange rates.

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