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Get the latest reports on the UK, EU, US and world economy, forecasts and updates on interest rates, the housing markets and much more.

Economic Briefings Overview

Make informed business decisions and stay abreast of all the latest economic news with regular insight available from the experts in Group Economics. Get the latest reports on the economy, forecasts and updates on interest rate, exchange rates and more.

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The Weekly Brief

Your one page digest of the previous week's main economic news - and what it means for your business.

  • (14/04/2014 – 60kb, PDF)

    UK economic indicators are in spring flower. Blossoming activity and sentiment combined with the belief that a rise in official interest rates remains a shadow on the horizon are helping produce a feelgood factor across Britain. Yet like past years, the fortunes for 2014 may be decided by events away from home.

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  • (07/04/2014 – 60kb, PDF)

    While most developed economies continue to grow, there are signs that the pace of expanding activity has stabilised. The majority of purchasing managers in the UK still report rising orders, it’s just their voices are less dominant than they were. Even the housing market may have paused for breath. A breather is no bad thing and there's no indication there's more to it than that. There is more concern that consumer prices could start to fall in the eurozone. And so the spectre of Japan's deflationary struggles looms ever larger across the continent. The odds that eurozone policymakers will follow Japan (and the UK and US) and start QE have just narrowed.

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  • (31/03/2014 – 61kb, PDF)

    There is no doubt that the UK economy is expanding at a decent lick. What’s more, the recovery is better balanced than it has been and we have growth without much inflation. But niggles remain about its sustainability. Households are running down their savings to fund consumption and the UK spent more than it earned last year.

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  • (24/03/2014 – 61kb, PDF)

    It’s as if the crisis and recession had never happened. According to the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the UK will grow at close to its longrun average for the next five years: never less than 2.3%, never more than 2.7%. Employment rises to record levels, unemployment falls below 5.5% in 2018 and real wages start to increase this year. All this with inflation at the 2.0% target. Here’s hoping they are correct.

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  • (17/03/2014 – 60kb, PDF)

    There are tentative signs that the base of the recovery is broadening. Manufacturing output rose at the start of the year and shoppers closed their purses and wallets a little. Some of the steam might be easing output of the housing market. It’s still too soon to declare that we’re having a ‘Goldilocks recovery’ – not too hot, not too cold – but repeats of recent data would be welcome.

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Interest & Exchange Rate Forecast

Monthly analysis and commentary on the outlook for UK, US & European interest rates and currency exchange rates.

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