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Economic Briefings Overview

Make informed business decisions and stay abreast of all the latest economic news with regular insight available from the experts in Group Economics. Get the latest reports on the economy, forecasts and updates on interest rate, exchange rates and more.

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The Weekly Brief

Your one page digest of the previous week's main economic news - and what it means for your business.

  • (15/12/2015 – 172kb, PDF)

    The Federal Open Market Committee has convinced pretty well everyone that it will raise the Fed Funds Target Rate when it meets on Tuesday and Wednesday. A first rise since June 2006 would be cause for modest celebration, signalling as it would that the need for extraordinary monetary policy is beginning to pass, if not quite yet a return to normality.

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  • (07/12/2015 – 167kb, PDF)

    Structural reform. That’s when governments reform markets – for example to boost competition – and invest in assets, from people to roads. Structural reform delivers faster growth but it offers jam tomorrow. To be sure, the Eurozone needs reform in spades but it needs substantial support today to escape weak growth and high unemployment.

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  • (30/11/2015 – 168kb, PDF)

    Underneath the Spending Review headlines was an old, but very important assumption – the UK gets more productive, and fast. Higher productivity means higher wages and thus tax receipts. There are signs of improvement but productivity has fallen short of expectations in recent years. Will this time be different?

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  • (24/11/2015 – 168kb, PDF)

    It’s been a long haul but does normality finally beckon? The minutes of the recent Federal Open Market Committee meeting – the US equivalent of the Monetary Policy Committee – show its members edging close to raising the Fed Funds rate in December. If the Fed’s judgement is correct and growth is sufficiently strong to merit a hike it would be another indication that the very long shadow cast by the financial crisis is waning.

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  • (16/11/2015 – 164kb, PDF)

    Britain’s job market is in rude, good health. Employment is at record levels. In the past that has led to concerns that inflation might start to rise. Yet wage growth gives no cause for concern and there seems to be scope for productivity to grow, allowing people to earn more and costs to be contained.

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Interest & Exchange Rate Forecast

Monthly analysis and commentary on the outlook for UK, US & European interest rates and currency exchange rates.

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